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Tanzania Mining Sector Report 2026

The definitive analysis of Tanzania's mining landscape — from Geita's gold expansion to emerging rare earth opportunities. Includes 5-year production forecasts, regulatory analysis, and investment thesis.

52 pages
45 min read
Joseph Mwenda, Dr. Amina Kassim
JM

Joseph Mwenda

Senior Reporter, Mining & Resources

DAK

Dr. Amina Kassim

Research Director

Table of Contents

Executive Summaryp. 3
Market Overview & Key Metricsp. 6
Gold Production & Outlookp. 12
Major Players & Competitive Landscapep. 18
Tanzanite & Precious Gemstonesp. 24
Rare Earth & Strategic Mineralsp. 28
Regulatory Framework Analysisp. 34
Local Content & Community Relationsp. 40
Investment Thesis & Valuationp. 44
Risk Assessment & Mitigationp. 48
Appendix: Data Tablesp. 50

Executive Summary

Tanzania's mining sector stands at an inflection point. Following years of regulatory reform and renewed government engagement with international investors, the sector is poised for a significant expansion phase that could see annual production value exceed $4 billion by 2030.

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of Tanzania's mining landscape, with particular focus on:

• Gold production outlook and major project expansions • Emerging opportunities in rare earth elements and strategic minerals • Regulatory environment and investor considerations • Valuation frameworks for sector participants

Our analysis indicates that Tanzania offers one of Africa's most attractive mining investment profiles, combining world-class geology with improving governance and infrastructure.

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Market Overview

Tanzania ranks as Africa's fourth-largest gold producer, with 2025 output of approximately 52 tonnes valued at $3.4 billion. The sector contributes roughly 5% of GDP and accounts for over 40% of total export earnings.

The past three years have witnessed a fundamental shift in the operating environment. Following the 2017-2020 period of regulatory uncertainty, the government has established a more predictable framework that balances state participation with investor protections.

Key Metrics (2025)

MetricValueYoY Change
Gold Production52.3 tonnes+8.2%
Export Value$3.4B+12.1%
Employment (formal)15,200+5.4%
Exploration Spending$180M+24.3%

The surge in exploration spending is particularly noteworthy, indicating renewed confidence from both major producers and junior explorers.

Gold Production & Outlook

Tanzania's gold production is dominated by three major operations: Geita (Barrick), North Mara (Barrick), and Bulyanhulu (Barrick). Together, these mines account for approximately 85% of national output.

Geita Gold Mine

Geita remains Tanzania's flagship gold operation, producing approximately 500,000 ounces annually. The January 2026 announcement of a $500 million expansion signals Barrick's long-term commitment to the asset...

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